One thing that is a near-certainty every NFL season is that a team that finished last in the previous year skyrockets all the way to a division crown in the following year. According to Bet Chicago, in 15 of the 16 seasons since the NFL went to eight divisions with four teams, at least one team made the last-to-first jump.
Who is the most likely to accomplish the trick this year? It won’t be an easy task for many of them. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, six of the eight teams that finished in last place in 2018 have the worst odds to win their division this season.
Here are the rankings from most-likely to least-likely to go from worst to first this season. Remember as a subjective list, this is just one man’s opinion.
Jaguars (AFC South) - 2018 record: 5-11
Remember this is a team that had the Patriots on the ropes in the 2017 AFC Championship Game. With the addition of quarterback Nick Foles (replacing the ineffective, turnover-prone Blake Bortles), the offense should be better-suited to keep the potentially elite defense off the field more.
Lions (NFC North) - 2018 record: 6-10
The team hopes second-year running back Kerryon Johnson can remain healthy because he represents the best at the position in the Matthew Stafford era. They do need a cornerback alongside Darius Slay to step up as they only recorded seven interceptions last season.