With the 2018 NFL Draft starting on Thursday (April 26), four quarterbacks will definitely be selected in the first round. They are Josh Allen of Wyoming, Baker Mayfield of Oklahoma, Sam Darnold of USC, and Josh Rosen of UCLA. Many people are also projecting a fifth, Lamar Jackson of Louisville, to be selected on Day 1 as well.

Here are all the quarterbacks that have been selected in the first round since 2005. They are separated by those that have panned out, those that haven’t, those that had (or are having) middling careers, and those that are too soon to tell where they should be categorized (rookies last season).

While it seems evident that Deshaun Watson will make it on the panned out list, remember it sure seemed that way after Robert Griffin Iii’s rookie season as well.

Panned out

Smith has gone 88-62-1 as a starter in his 12-year career and led the NFL with a 104.7 passer rating in 2017.

  • Aaron Rodgers (24th in 2005)

Rodgers has two MVP awards and a Super Bowl MVP to his name in what has been a marvelous career.

  • Jay Cutler (11th in 2006)

He has received a lot of flak throughout his career, but Cutler has started 153 games throwing for 35,133 yards and 227 touchdowns.

  • Matt Ryan (3rd in 2008)

Named the league’s MVP in 2016, Ryan has already thrown for 41,796 yards and 260 touchdowns over 10 seasons.

  • Joe Flacco (18th in 2008)

While his career has been marred by inconsistency, Flacco will always have a place in Ravens lore for his historic postseason which ended in being named MVP of Super Bowl XLVII.

  • Matthew Stafford (1st in 2009)

Stafford has started all 16 games in each of the last seven seasons for the Lions throwing for at least 4,257 yards in all of those years.

  • Cam Newton (1st in 2011)

Newton was named the NFL’s MVP in 2015 and has thrown 158 career touchdown passes along with another 54 scores on the ground.

  • Andrew Luck (1st in 2012)

Despite missing out on all of last season due to shoulder surgery, Luck already has three seasons of over 4,000 yards passing to his name.

  • Jameis Winston (1st in 2015)

Winston has thrown for 11,639 yards and 69 touchdowns in his first three seasons.

  • Marcus Mariota (2nd in 2015)

In three seasons, Mariota has thrown 58 touchdowns and ran for nine as well.

  • Jared Goff (1st in 2016)

After a rookie year filled with struggles, Goff threw for 3,804 yards and 28 touchdowns in 2017.

  • Carson Wentz (2nd in 2016)

Despite missing three games last season, Wentz’s superb 2017 saw him finish third in MVP voting.

Didn’t pan out

  • Vince Young (3rd in 2006)

Young was the Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2006 but finished his career with more interceptions (51) than passing touchdowns (46).

  • Matt Leinart (10th in 2006)

Leinart started just 18 games in his career throwing only 15 touchdown passes.

  • JaMarcus Russell (1st in 2007)

Despite being drafted first overall, Russell’s career only lasted three seasons.

He went 7-18 as a starting quarterback.

  • Brady Quinn (22nd in 2007)

Quinn went 4-16 as a starter and threw just 12 career touchdown passes.

  • Mark Sanchez (5th in 2009)

Sanchez actually helped guide the Jets to the AFC Championship Game in each of his first two seasons but has a subpar career passer rating of 73.9.

  • Tim Tebow (25th in 2010)

Tebow completed only 47.9 percent of his career 361 passes in three seasons and is now playing minor league baseball.

  • Jake Locker (8th in 2011)

Locker retired after four seasons in which he went 9-14 as a starter.

  • Blaine Gabbert (10th in 2011)

Signing with the Titans this offseason, Gabbert has gone just 11-34 when starting for his team under center.

  • Christian Ponder (12th in 2011)

Ponder last played in 2014 having a career that lasted only four seasons.

  • Robert Griffin III (2nd in 2012)

An excellent rookie season hasn’t carried over for Griffin III who was out of football last year. He sighed with the Ravens this offseason and will be a backup to Joe Flacco.

  • Brandon Weeden (22nd in 2012)

Weeden came into the league as a 28-year-old and has gone 6-19 as a starter. He hasn’t played a single snap since 2015.

  • EJ Manuel (16th in 2013)

Since his rookie season, Manuel has started only eight games. He is 6-12 as a starting quarterback.

  • Johnny Manziel (22nd in 2014)

Manziel is attempting to make an NFL comeback as he has been out of the league since 2015.

  • Paxton Lynch (26th in 2016)

The Broncos haven’t shown much confidence throwing Lynch out there as he has just four starts in his first two years.

Middling career

  • Jason Campbell (25th in 2005)

Campbell had a solid but unspectacular career where he threw for 16,771 yards and 87 touchdowns.

  • Josh Freeman (17th in 2009)

Freeman was marvelous in 2010, pretty good in 2012, but otherwise would be on the didn’t pan out list, if not for those two seasons.

  • Sam Bradford (1st in 2010)

Injuries have played a large role in not seeing Bradford’s full potential in the NFL. He should at least begin this season as the new Cardinals starting quarterback.

  • Ryan Tannehill (8th in 2012)

Tannehill missed all of last season due to injury. He’s put up fairly strong numbers in the past, but they always seem somewhat hollow.

  • Blake Bortles (3rd in 2014)

Bortles is coming off arguably his best season but has always been mistake-prone with 64 interceptions in four seasons.

Bridgewater had a Pro Bowl season in 2015, but a devastating knee injury forced him to miss all of 2016. He attempted just two passes last year.

Too soon to tell

  • Mitchell Trubisky (2nd in 2017)

Rookie stats: 12 starts, 196-330 (59.4 percent), 2,193 yards, 7 TD, 7 INT

  • Patrick Mahomes (10th in 2017)

Rookie stats: 1 start, 22-35 (62.9 percent), 284 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT

  • Deshaun Watson (12th in 2017)

Rookie stats: 6 starts, 126-204 (61.8 percent), 1,699 yards, 19 TD, 8 INT
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