The 2020 season was much different than any season before it. The regular season was only 60 games, and more than half (16 of 30) of the teams made the postseason.
Looking at those 16 playoff teams, which ones are the most likely to return in 2021? I’ll take a stab at predicting from most likely to least likely. As a subjective list, it can easily be debated where teams belong. Also, there will be a better idea of the standing of each team after the offseason (also, will MLB stay with 16 playoff teams or go back to the old format in 2021?).
Los Angeles Dodgers
They finished 2020 with a 43-17 record, led the majors in runs, gave up the second-least, and won their first World Series since 1988.
Go and get them rings fitted. #WorldSeries pic.twitter.com/SCdyri8WoE
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) October 28, 2020
New York Yankees
The team should be getting back Luis Severino a couple of months into the 2021 season, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see them offer a boatload of money to J.T. Realmuto due to the struggles of catcher Gary Sanchez.
.@TorresGleyber should be in the #Yankees' future plans no matter what
— Bronx Pinstripes (@BronxPinstripes) October 28, 2020
✍️By: @ncostanzo24
📲Read here: https://t.co/prbVDrYIPn pic.twitter.com/5Dpuo4cYxw
Atlanta Braves
Marcell Ozuna is a key free agent after an outstanding 2020, and the Braves could be a major threat to the Dodgers if they add more starting pitching depth after the young triumvirate of Max Fried, Mike Soroka, and Ian Anderson.
Congratulations to @FreddieFreeman5 for being named @BaseballAmerica's Player of the Year!#MVFree pic.twitter.com/xbfYhnD8qR
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) October 22, 2020
Tampa Bay Rays
They have no major free agents, but if the Yankees can sustain better health especially from their big boppers Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton (a big question mark), Tampa Bay wouldn’t be the favorite in the AL East.
Even though we couldn’t be together this year, we felt your passion
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) October 28, 2020
To a year unlike anything we’ve ever experienced, and to a run unlike any other this franchise has ever had
Thank you pic.twitter.com/ke0WNzOzrH
San Diego Padres
They had the second-best run differential (+84) in 2020, but they aren’t higher because they reside in the same division with what looks like the clear-cut best team.
In 2021, the #Padres will be ... favorites?
— Jeff Sanders (@sdutSanders) October 28, 2020
One oddsmaker thinks so. https://t.co/pZy9OfeFIE pic.twitter.com/HNkx8q6ILZ
Chicago White Sox
Another year of experience should help young stars Lucas Giolito, Eloy Jimenez, Yoan Moncada, Luis Robert, and Nick Madrigal as the White Sox have the nucleus to contend for the foreseeable future.
We can’t wait for you to watch Luis Robert in person pic.twitter.com/zzwyez96Mw
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) October 20, 2020
Minnesota Twins
The Twins have become somewhat of a running joke (18 straight losses in the playoffs), but the main question is do they bet on Nelson Cruz (turns 41 on July 1) to continue raking at the plate by re-signing him?
Here’s a very random trivia question that seems easy but only the brilliant among you will get right:
— Jeff Fletcher (@JeffFletcherOCR) October 29, 2020
Who has the highest career WAR in the franchise history of the Minnesota Twins?
(Don’t ask why I just happened to come across this tidbit.)
Oakland Athletics
Superstar closer Liam Hendriks may prove to be too pricey to keep for the low-budget Athletics who also have a choice to make on free agent to be Marcus Semien, who struggled in 2020 after finishing third in AL MVP voting in 2019.
The Oakland #Athletics informed a large number of employees who were originally furloughed a few months ago they will not be retained in 2021, according to reports. https://t.co/El7Sh1qzJ3
— NBC Bay Area (@nbcbayarea) October 26, 2020
Houston Astros
The outfield could look much different as Michael Brantley and George Springer are about to hit the open market, and Justin Verlander will miss all of 2021 after undergoing Tommy John surgery.
The Astros placed Roberto Osuna on outright waivers, per sources. Osuna, who barely pitched in 2020 because of an elbow injury, was expected to make ~$10 million in '21 through arbitration.
— Jake Kaplan (@jakemkaplan) October 29, 2020
Presuming he clears waivers and elects free agency, it's basically an early non-tender.
Chicago Cubs
They are still the early favorites to win the NL Central in 2021, and one would have to think Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo, and Kyle Schwarber would perform better in a 162-game season right?
While a little spooky, Wrigley Field is Halloween perfect at the moment. @Cubs @WGNNews pic.twitter.com/w5c7AeBQQg
— Larry Hawley (@HawleySports) October 28, 2020
Cleveland Indians
Yes, they will have one of the better starting rotations in baseball, but their outfield has been atrocious for years, and one of the offseason’s biggest questions will be if the Indians decide to pull the trigger on dealing Francisco Lindor.
Triston McKenzie’s long-awaited yet early arrival with the Cleveland Indians
— The Athletic Cleveland / Columbus (@TheAthleticCLE) October 23, 2020
In eight outings spanning 33 1/3 innings, he posted a 3.24 ERA, but "there's a lot more room for growth," McKenzie said.@ZackMeisel on his quick rise to prominence: https://t.co/BtJp6Bdyqt pic.twitter.com/EtZnBcDoRp
St. Louis Cardinals
Other than Paul Goldschmidt, the offense just isn’t very good, and Dakota Hudson will miss all of 2021 due to Tommy John surgery which takes a huge hit on a solid starting rotation.
Kolten Wong sends a message to #STLCards fans and the organization: pic.twitter.com/xtEDD2LJpP
— Anne Rogers (@anne__rogers) October 28, 2020
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee finished under .500 at 29-31 in 2020, but one would have to believe Christian Yelich will rebound from his .205 batting average after he won back-to-back NL batting titles in 2018 and 2019.
Major League Baseball announced that Milwaukee Brewers' reliever Devin Williams has been named the National League Reliever of the Year. https://t.co/M6IrFCSlaI
— WEAU 13 News (@WEAU13News) October 25, 2020
Cincinnati Reds
It’s highly unlikely that Trevor Bauer will be back after a year which will presumptively earn him a NL Cy Young, but can their offense improve after a 2020 that saw their BABIP end at a miserable .245 (lowest since the 1968 Yankees according to the Cincinnati Enquirer).
🚨 𝙅𝙐𝙎𝙏 𝘼𝙉𝙉𝙊𝙐𝙉𝘾𝙀𝘿 🚨
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) October 29, 2020
Trevor Bauer and Jesse Winker are on the ballot for the 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟎 𝐀𝐥𝐥-𝐌𝐋𝐁 𝐓𝐞𝐚𝐦! Vote daily until 2 p.m. ET Friday, Nov. 13! 🗳️ https://t.co/QNfO08z8uJ pic.twitter.com/KmKlsOrIuo
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto’s problem is they clearly are third in the AL East pecking order, but they can remain in contention if their offensive progression continues from last season (career years from Rowdy Tellez, Teoscar Hernandez, etc.).
Congratulations to @TeoscarH, @doinitBIGgio23 and Hyun Jin Ryu - our 2020 All-MLB Team nominees!
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) October 29, 2020
Vote daily until Nov. 13: https://t.co/iedCELMiy4 pic.twitter.com/G4yWSJGSJs
Miami Marlins
The Marlins have picked up Starling Marte’s $12.5 million option according to the team website, but expect that to be their major splash of the offseason as they hope to see the continued improvement of young starting pitchers Sandy Alcantara, Pablo Lopez, and Sixto Sanchez.
Our VOTE 4 ANDY dance routine still has some kinks to work out, so in the meantime ...
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) October 29, 2020
📢 VOTE ANDY: https://t.co/ySpXY8UU0u 📢 pic.twitter.com/80zxr0LOc1