As of this past Monday, Roger Federer is the World No. 8, a ranking that has been sliding since he announced that his season would have to be cut short. Hisranking will sink further in the weeks ahead as Federer still has a few tournaments that he will lose rankings points from. For the balance of the 2016 season, here are those events:

  • Federer will lose 500 ranking points after ATP Basel
  • Federer will lose 90 ranking points after the Paris Masters
  • Federer will lose 1000 ranking points before season's end for not being able to contest the ATP World Tour Finals

Federer will remain in the top 20

By the time the dust settles, Federer will have just 2130 ranking points from the 2016 season.

Those will keep his ranking in the top 20 on tour heading into the 2017 season.

However, ranking isn't always relevant when it comes to expectations. Federer, even if he is about to fall out of the top ten for the first time since October of 2002, still has the confidence of the oddsmakers when it comes to doing some damage at the 2017 Australian Open. Behind Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray, Stan Wawrinka, and Juan Martin del Potro the Swiss Maestro is considered the 5th favorite to win the Melbourne Park title with sportsbook Stan James.

Federer's betting odds to win majors

The odds on Federer are 18/1 at this point to win the early-season Grand Slam. Federer has won the event four times in the past, however he has not won the title down under since the 2010 Australian Open when he defeated Andy Murray in straight sets.Looking at the other Grand Slams, Federer has the following betting odds:

  • 2017 French Open: 40/1 with Paddy Power
  • Wimbledon 2017: 20/1 with Ladbrokes
  • 2017 US Open 18/1 with Betfair

He should probably be considered a bit heavier of a favorite at Wimbledon.

That has been his best event historically and he has been to the finals at the All England Club recently. His 2012 title at the grass-court Grand Slam remains his last. Additionally, Federer was close to making the final at Wimbledon this past summer before losing in five sets to Canada's Milos Raonic.

A title in Melbourne Park seems unlikely. We're entering nearly unchartered territory with the Swiss Maestro from two points of view. Firstly, he is now 35 years old and well passed the age of all priorGrand Slam winners when they won their titles. Also, Federer has been so resilient to injury over the course of his career, that coming back from a lengthy layoff is not something he has experience in.

Will he struggle when he returns to the tour? Or will he be fully recovered and close to the best possible Tennis that he can play at this point in his life? Time will tell, but if Federer is fit and playing well then he is never 18 to 1 for a major, even at the age of 35.

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