With WWE’s annual December event Tables, Ladders and Chairs (TLC) coming up this Sunday, The Celtic Warriorlooks to retain the WWE World Heavyweight Championship in his first title defense since winning the title at Survivor Series.WWE World Heavyweight Champion Sheamus will face challenger Roman Reigns in a Tables, Ladders and Chairs Match.

January brings us the Royal Rumble, which begins the road to WrestleMania. As we head into that season, will Reigns be defending the title, or chasing after it still?As the WWE Universe ponders the possible outcomes, let’s take a look at some statistics surrounding the Tables, Ladders and Chairs event and TLC matches.

Personal Experience

Relevant to this match, Sheamus and Reigns have a lot in common. Both were absent from last’s year event due to injury. Both have a 50% success rate at the TLC PPV. Neither has ever fought for a title in a TLC Match.

Reigns has only wrestled at TLC twice. His first WWE PPV match was as a member of The Shield, defeating Ryback, Daniel Bryan and Kane in a TLC Match. The nextyear, The Shield lost a Handicap Match to CM Punk. Reigns’ record is 1-1 at TLC.

While he may not have ever competed in a TLC Match, Sheamus has been a part of twice as many TLC events as Reigns. At the first annual event, he defeated John Cena for the WWE Championship in a Tables Match. In 2010, he lost a Ladder Match for the WWE title No.

1 contendership to John Morrison. In 2012, he lost to World Heavyweight Champion Big Show in a Chairs Match.

So, Sheamus has competed in a Tables Match, Ladders Match and Chairs Match at WWE Tables, Ladders and Chairs – he just hasn’t competed in a TLC Match. His 2011 win over Jack Swagger brings him to 2-2 at the event.

TLC Title Matches at WWE TLC – 67% in favor of Roman Reigns

There have only been 4title matches held at the WWE Tables, Ladders and Chairs event that were contested under TLC rules. In 2009, DX defeated Jeri-Show in the main event to take the tag titles. The following year, Edge won the World Heavyweight Championship from Kane in a Fatal 4-Way that also involved Rey Mysterio and Alberto Del Rio.

In 2011, in the midst of his historic title reign, CM Punk successfully defended the WWE Championship in a Triple Threat TLC Match against The Miz and ADR.

In 2 of those 3 matches, the champion lost the title. Those numbers give Reigns a 67% chance of capturing the belt. The 4th title match that I didn’t include here was the Unification Match in 2013, in which World Heavyweight Champion Randy Orton won the WWE Championship from John Cena – the champion/challenger dynamic did not apply.

All TLC Title Matches at any WWE event – 58% in favor of Sheamus

To date, WWE has produced a total of 17TLC Matches. 14of those 17matches were for a WWE championship. Unification match and vacated titles aside, we've seen 12TLC Title Matches in which the champion either retains or drops the title.

In such cases, the champion has won 58% of the time. That includes the very first TLC Match in which Edge & Christian defeated The Dudley Boyz and the Hardy Boyz, the time Kane defeated 3tag teams on SmackDown (without partner Hurricane), and CM Punk's successful defenses of the WWE Championship back-to-back in 2011 and 2012. If Sheamus retains on Sunday, he brings that percentage up to 62%.

Unless you count the 2013Unification Match, the WWE World Heavyweight Championship has never been defended in a TLC Match. But the WWE Championship was defended 5 times, and the champions retained 80% of the time! If you add in the two World Heavyweight Championship defenses –dropped by Jeff Hardy and Kane –the odds of a world champion retaining in a TLC Match is brought back down to 57%.


While the history of title matches atTLCfavors Roman Reigns, the history of all TLC Title Matches –and personal experience – seems to favor Sheamus. Who do you think walks away with the WWE World Heavyweight Championship afterWWE Tables, Ladders and Chairs?

[Image via WWE]

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