Whatever happens in the presidential contest, and Donald Trump seems to be surging against a faltering Hillary Clinton, Republicans are increasingly confident about holding the Senate, the Washington Examiner reports. The situation is a marked change from a month or so ago when the GOP feared that Trump might lose big and drag down their majority in the Senate with him. Now, with the prospect of Trump winning or, at worse, losing narrowly, Republican Senate candidates are surging as well.

The other factor favoring the GOP is the fact its candidates tend to be top notch while Democratic candidates have, on the whole, been second stringers. Even Evan Bayh, brought in late to try to take back his old seat in Indiana, is collapsing because of the fact that he has not actually lived in the state for years. Other races, such as Ohio and Florida, have Republicans comfortably ahead or, as in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, have the candidates neck and neck.

The situation means that whatever happens on the top of the ticket, the Republicans will hold both houses of Congress since no one seriously expects a Democratic pickup of the House. That means that if Hillary Clinton is elected, all of her proposals will have to pass muster in a hostile Congress. Her unpopularity and unlikeability suggest that she will not have a lot of leverage and will have to learn how to compromise.

If Trump wins, he will at least have a friendly hearing for his ideas, the possible exception being his childcare entitlement, which has given conservatives heartburn. Senate Democrats may filibuster out of spite, but that might move the Republicans to suspend the practice, at least for the first few months of 2017, so that President Trump can fulfill his mandate that he will claim by winning.

A GOP Senate also means that the Supreme Court will be saved.

Hillary Clinton will not be able to pack the court with doctrinaire liberals as quickly as she might have. Donald Trump would be able to nominate conservatives as he has previously promised to do.

2022, the first midterms, gets even worse for the Democrats. Two years hence, the Democrats have more vulnerable seats to defend.  

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