In September 2015 Bloomberg and Time magazine reported that one of the major El Niño effects are "serious shifts in temperature and precipitation" on a global scale. And while California is seeing an increase in rainfall, the price of the coffee you purchase on the supermarket shelves is likely to be impacted by the weather. Plantations in Brazil have suffered with a prolonged drought through 2014 and 2015 and Central American crops have been affected by a fungus.

It is important we understand that coffee is one of the world's most important cash commodities and the coffee futures market fluctuates each day.

The state of the crop has had a serious impact on the supply till the end of 2015, with coffee commodity prices skyrocketing. However, it is also important to understand that the commercial commodity prices do not always affect the retail price, but in this case product prices in stores are currently on the rise because these supply problems are coinciding with increased demand for the product on the world market – which of course amounts to bad News for the shopper,who ends up paying more for their coffee.

According to website Eater, "scientists have predicted that this year [El Niño] will bring about 'torrential' rainfall and flooding in Eastern Africa, including Uganda, which is the largest exporter of coffee on the continent".

This means the weather pattern, the worst since the 1950s, may be impacting many coffee growing areas in different ways at a time, when demand for coffee is at an all time high and likely to continue to grow. The price of coffee may have a wider effect impacting the cost of other foodstuffs across the world.

Most large suppliers purchase their beans well ahead of it being needed in the stores. And the fact that for the majority of 2015 the coffee futures doubled in price may be impacting the current price consumers are paying in the supermarket. Yet how you purchase your coffee may impact the price that you pay, the cost of beans and ground coffee has certainly risen while at the same time the cost of instant or K-cups is relatively unchanged.

Truth is the price for coffee sold in K-cups can beas much as 500% more than the cost of the raw bean, so manufacturers have built in ample room for increased prices of their raw materials, but that is the price consumers pay for the convenience associated with the K-cup.

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